Jeb Bush has been making headlines in recent weeks with hints that he is considering a run for the 2016 presidency, vying against a diverse crowd of major Republican contenders and coming out on top of the heap to face New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Jeb Bush holds a clear lead for the moment with Christie coming in second place in the polls, by several percentage points. The nomination is far from sealed for any of the current field of potential candidates who are considering a presidential campaign at this time. However, Jeb Bush’s prospects of a successful bid are already rising as many are interpreting his recent resignations to be a sign that he is preparing to make a run for the third Bush presidency in under 30 years.
While Gov. Christie’s numbers remained stable in the CNN poll that conducted live phone interviews with 1,011 adults around the country between Dec.18 to Dec. 21. The sample population consisted of 453 Republicans and 469 Democrats. Results showed that were the election held today, Jeb Bush would take the party’s nomination although possibly fail to garner enough votes to defeat potential Democratic challenger, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Of the Republicans who participated in the nationwide survey, 23 percent would choose Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida, as their top candidate with 13 percent going with Chris Christie. Renowned neurosurgeon Ben Carson trails the frontrunners at 7 percent with Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and former governor of Arkansas, Mike Huckabee at the bottom of the heap. There is no shortage of candidates in this face off, but Matt Bennett, a consultant for the Democrats points out that the tides of public opinion are fickle at this stage of the election game as the frontrunner can change several times within the election cycle.
Nonetheless, none of the candidates have yet announced definite plans to stage a bid for the Republican presidential nomination. Jeb Bush has made the strongest commitment to date in announcing to his Facebook followers that he is “actively exploring” the possibility of pursuing the Republican nomination. On the other hand, although his current polls show that he is up from the 9 percent voter share in November, Gov. Christie has been upfront about his intention to take his time in considering whether to throw his hat in the ring. He reinforced this position during a recent trade mission to Canada stating that he will not decide until later in 2015.
Furthermore, the poll shows that Hillary Clinton holds firm sway as the top Democratic candidate to beat. Two-thirds of the Democrats polled coming down in her favor, giving her a whopping 55 percent lead over Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts.The overall survey results also indicate that she would easily defeat both Jeb Bush and Chris Christie if either faced her in an election today. However, a Bush-Clinton race would eliminate the advantage of name recognition for both parties. Bennett expresses respect for Mr. Bush’s ability to leverage his resources and intelligence to stage a credible campaign. Nonetheless, he reiterates that a presidential campaign is no walk in the park and how Jeb Bush handles the challenges thrown his way over the next two years will define the strength of his candidacy in the court of public opinion. This tells both Republicans and Jeb Bush that they have their work cut out for them if they are to rise from the heap and stage a successful challenge to reclaim the White House from Democratic control in the 2016 elections.
by Tamara Christine Van Hooser