Commentary by James Turnage
The Republican Party is primarily an organization of white, wealthy aging men. Its policies reflect their membership profile; protect the wealthy; support Christian beliefs; ignore the needs of blacks and Hispanics; ensure women remain under the control of men. With these facts in mind, the U.S. Census Bureau’s projections will see the disappearance of the GOP by 2044.
Throughout the next three decades, the GOP will fight battles over social programs, voting rights, immigration, and others. They will certainly win some, but they will eventually lose the war.
The Census Bureau forecasts a new America by 2044. Traditional whites will comprise less than 50 percent of the nation’s population. Asians, multiracial individuals, and a growing Hispanic populace will become the majority. In addition, the white population will consist of younger men and women who align themselves more closely with their brothers and sisters who were formerly in the minority.
The reasons for the changes are easily understood. Whites are having fewer children, while Hispanics and black or multiracial families continue to sustain the birth rate average. Whites marrying only white partners is a diminishing fact. Taboos which existed in the 1950’s are a distant memory for most Americans. Women of all ethnicity are choosing to marry and/or have children later in life, or not at all. Careers for many educated women have taken precedence over the desire for a traditional family. And a minor but growing factor involves the LGBT community. And increasing number of married couples are adopting children who are frequently multiracial.
Those considered the minority today are expected to double in population within the next 40 years. This is bad news for the GOP. Their opposition to immigration reform, social programs for the impoverished, and their denial of accepting equal rights for women in the workplace, will result in less support for their brand as the population changes.
After another loss in the 2012 general election, the Republican National Committee vowed to change certain provisions in their platform to entice increased support from blacks, Hispanics, and young women. They have actually moved in the opposite direction by instituting voter ID laws, opposing legal status for 11 million residents, taking actions to deny poor women choice regarding and unwanted pregnancy, and refusing to pass legislation guaranteeing women equal pay in the workforce.
The GOP as we knew it 40 years ago is non-existent. With the addition of a third party into their ranks, progress made by their GOP predecessors has been reversed. The extremists of the TEA Party have forced a division among conservatives. Moderates who would deliberate issues with those across the aisle, are constantly being shouted down by a well-funded third party.
The only option for the GOP is to force the TEA Party out of their midst. They are not true Republicans, and should be forced to form their own separate party. Funding for election campaigns must become their own responsibility and not that of the GOP faithful.
If the GOP is functioning in 30 years, it will be the result of re-aligning themselves with all of the American people, not just the few. Thinking of the GOP, even those in my generation regard it as its title, ‘the Grand Old Party.’ They are old men with old ideas. Although it may not be true, the backlash is that the Democratic Party is viewed as younger and progressive.
There is no time to waste; 30 years will pass quickly.
By James Turnage